peopleanalyst

how-to · evidence-based answer

How many participants do I need to detect an effect?

The short answer

Run a power analysis before the study, not a p-value autopsy after. The sample you need depends on the effect size you expect, the power you want (conventionally 80%), and your alpha; small effects in noisy organizational data need far larger samples than most pilots have. An underpowered pilot that finds 'no significant effect' has not shown the program failed — it has shown the test could not detect it.

The problem underneath

Underpowered pilots are the default in HR: teams run an intervention on thirty people, find 'no significant effect,' and kill programs that were never testable at that sample size. Power analysis before the study is the fix.

The evidence

Every claim on this site traces to a graded source — see the proof graph.

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