peopleanalyst

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Forecast-strength — the forecast-calibration loop (crown jewel)

The forecast-calibration loop (PAT-200, crown-jewel rebuild Brief 2): leaders predict → actuals recorded → calibration score. Measures whether a leader's forecasts track reality — forecast strength as a leadership signal.

Cluster
Platform
Type
algo
Status
Live
Used by
people-analytics-toolbox

Maturity evidence

Functioning
Live spoke: REST /api/spokes/forecast-strength/scores + MCP forecast-strength.scores.read (fully MCP-wired, multiple functional tools); contract registry + health aggregate; check:spokes green.
Valuable
Live + MCP-callable; no direct SKU — a crown-jewel measurement primitive that composes into leadership/decision products.
Understood
src/spokes/forecast-strength/README.md documents role + contract.
Integrated
Crown-jewel rebuild; composes into leadership signals; no standalone product surface.

How to use it

REST
/api/spokes/forecast-strength/scores
MCP
forecast-strength.scores.read
Data
src/spokes/forecast-strength/

Other Platform capabilities

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Capability detail sourced from the People Analytics Toolbox capability feed (source of truth), snapshot retrieved 2026-07-23.