peopleanalyst

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Forecasting + value-of-information (Monte Carlo · EVPI/EVSI)

Monte Carlo simulation + value-of-information primitives (EVPI, discrete EVSI) as callable services — seeded reproducible draws, decision-tree rollback. The decision-value math behind priced 'next move' recommendations.

Cluster
Platform
Type
algo
Status
Live
Used by
people-analytics-toolbox

Maturity evidence

Functioning
Live spoke: REST /api/spokes/forecasting/bayesian-combine + MCP forecasting.bayesian-combine; registered in the contract registry + health aggregate; check:spokes green.
Valuable
Live + MCP-callable; no direct SKU — composes into the AnyComp decision layer and the Performix EVSI-dollar gate (HO-474).
Understood
src/spokes/forecasting/README.md documents role + contract.
Integrated
Consumed by the decision-wizard surface + AnyComp decision layer + VOI-dollar pricing; a load-bearing primitive.

How to use it

REST
/api/spokes/forecasting/bayesian-combine
MCP
forecasting.bayesian-combine
Data
src/spokes/forecasting/

Other Platform capabilities

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Capability detail sourced from the People Analytics Toolbox capability feed (source of truth), snapshot retrieved 2026-07-23.