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Bibliography — BibTeX

Master bibliography in BibTeX form for the cultural-diffusion thread.

Namesake·Bibliography·source: people-analyst/baby-namer/docs/research/bibliography.bib
% Namesake Research Program — Bibliography
% Status: cultural-diffusion thread, first merged draft, 2026-04-29
% Scope: every citation referenced in docs/research/reports/ and the master
%        study spec (docs/research/PHD_STUDY_SPEC.md). One key per work.
% Style: BibTeX. Keys are lastname_year_firstword.
% DOIs verified against publisher pages or CrossRef search.
% See literature-map.md for per-row annotations.

% =====================================================================
% A. The Lieberson neutral-fashion debate
% =====================================================================

@book{lieberson_2000_matter,
  author    = {Lieberson, Stanley},
  title     = {A Matter of Taste: How Names, Fashions, and Culture Change},
  year      = {2000},
  publisher = {Yale University Press},
  address   = {New Haven},
  url       = {https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300094978/a-matter-of-taste/}
}

@article{hahn_2003_drift,
  author  = {Hahn, Matthew W. and Bentley, R. Alexander},
  title   = {Drift as a mechanism for cultural change: an example from baby names},
  journal = {Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences},
  volume  = {270},
  number  = {Suppl. 1},
  pages   = {S120--S123},
  year    = {2003},
  doi     = {10.1098/rsbl.2003.0045}
}

@article{bentley_2007_regular,
  author  = {Bentley, R. Alexander and Lipo, Carl P. and Herzog, Harold A. and Hahn, Matthew W.},
  title   = {Regular rates of popular culture change reflect random copying},
  journal = {Evolution and Human Behavior},
  volume  = {28},
  number  = {3},
  pages   = {151--158},
  year    = {2007},
  doi     = {10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2006.10.002}
}

@article{wright_1931_evolution,
  author  = {Wright, Sewall},
  title   = {Evolution in {M}endelian populations},
  journal = {Genetics},
  volume  = {16},
  number  = {2},
  pages   = {97--159},
  year    = {1931},
  doi     = {10.1093/genetics/16.2.97}
}

@book{fisher_1930_genetical,
  author    = {Fisher, Ronald A.},
  title     = {The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection},
  year      = {1930},
  publisher = {Clarendon Press},
  address   = {Oxford},
  url       = {https://archive.org/details/geneticaltheoryo031631mbp}
}

@article{kimura_1968_evolutionary,
  author  = {Kimura, Motoo},
  title   = {Evolutionary rate at the molecular level},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume  = {217},
  number  = {5129},
  pages   = {624--626},
  year    = {1968},
  doi     = {10.1038/217624a0}
}

% =====================================================================
% B. Phonetic neighborhoods and sound-driven fashion
% =====================================================================

@article{berger_2012_karen,
  author  = {Berger, Jonah and Bradlow, Eric T. and Braunstein, Alex and Zhang, Yao},
  title   = {From {K}aren to {K}atie: Using baby names to understand cultural evolution},
  journal = {Psychological Science},
  volume  = {23},
  number  = {10},
  pages   = {1067--1073},
  year    = {2012},
  doi     = {10.1177/0956797612443371}
}

@misc{cmu_pronouncing_dictionary,
  author       = {{Carnegie Mellon University}},
  title        = {The {CMU} Pronouncing Dictionary, version 0.7b},
  year         = {2014},
  howpublished = {Software},
  url          = {http://www.speech.cs.cmu.edu/cgi-bin/cmudict},
  note         = {Maintainer: Robert L. Weide. Used for {ARPA}bet phoneme strings in Phase 3 of the cultural-diffusion pipeline.}
}

% =====================================================================
% C. Cultural diffusion theory
% =====================================================================

@article{bass_1969_new,
  author  = {Bass, Frank M.},
  title   = {A new product growth for model consumer durables},
  journal = {Management Science},
  volume  = {15},
  number  = {5},
  pages   = {215--227},
  year    = {1969},
  doi     = {10.1287/mnsc.15.5.215}
}

@book{rogers_2003_diffusion,
  author    = {Rogers, Everett M.},
  title     = {Diffusion of Innovations},
  edition   = {5th},
  year      = {2003},
  publisher = {Free Press},
  address   = {New York},
  url       = {https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Diffusion-of-Innovations-5th-Edition/Everett-M-Rogers/9780743222099}
}

@article{goel_2016_structural,
  author  = {Goel, Sharad and Anderson, Ashton and Hofman, Jake and Watts, Duncan J.},
  title   = {The structural virality of online diffusion},
  journal = {Management Science},
  volume  = {62},
  number  = {1},
  pages   = {180--196},
  year    = {2016},
  doi     = {10.1287/mnsc.2015.2158}
}

% =====================================================================
% D. Self-exciting processes and contagion dynamics
% =====================================================================

@article{hawkes_1971_spectra,
  author  = {Hawkes, Alan G.},
  title   = {Spectra of some self-exciting and mutually exciting point processes},
  journal = {Biometrika},
  volume  = {58},
  number  = {1},
  pages   = {83--90},
  year    = {1971},
  doi     = {10.1093/biomet/58.1.83}
}

% =====================================================================
% E. Time-series causal inference (Granger / VAR)
% =====================================================================

@article{granger_1969_investigating,
  author  = {Granger, C. W. J.},
  title   = {Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods},
  journal = {Econometrica},
  volume  = {37},
  number  = {3},
  pages   = {424--438},
  year    = {1969},
  doi     = {10.2307/1912791}
}

@article{sims_1980_macroeconomics,
  author  = {Sims, Christopher A.},
  title   = {Macroeconomics and reality},
  journal = {Econometrica},
  volume  = {48},
  number  = {1},
  pages   = {1--48},
  year    = {1980},
  doi     = {10.2307/1912017}
}

% =====================================================================
% F. Synthetic-control causal inference
% =====================================================================

@article{abadie_2003_economic,
  author  = {Abadie, Alberto and Gardeazabal, Javier},
  title   = {The economic costs of conflict: A case study of the {B}asque {C}ountry},
  journal = {American Economic Review},
  volume  = {93},
  number  = {1},
  pages   = {113--132},
  year    = {2003},
  doi     = {10.1257/000282803321455188}
}

@article{abadie_2010_synthetic,
  author  = {Abadie, Alberto and Diamond, Alexis and Hainmueller, Jens},
  title   = {Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: Estimating the effect of {C}alifornia's tobacco control program},
  journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  volume  = {105},
  number  = {490},
  pages   = {493--505},
  year    = {2010},
  doi     = {10.1198/jasa.2009.ap08746}
}

% =====================================================================
% G. Spatial autocorrelation
% =====================================================================

@article{moran_1950_notes,
  author  = {Moran, P. A. P.},
  title   = {Notes on continuous stochastic phenomena},
  journal = {Biometrika},
  volume  = {37},
  number  = {1/2},
  pages   = {17--23},
  year    = {1950},
  doi     = {10.1093/biomet/37.1-2.17}
}

% =====================================================================
% H. Predictability ceiling
% =====================================================================

@article{salganik_2006_experimental,
  author  = {Salganik, Matthew J. and Dodds, Peter Sheridan and Watts, Duncan J.},
  title   = {Experimental study of inequality and unpredictability in an artificial cultural market},
  journal = {Science},
  volume  = {311},
  number  = {5762},
  pages   = {854--856},
  year    = {2006},
  doi     = {10.1126/science.1121066}
}

% =====================================================================
% I. Saturation, exposure, and reactance (Blockbuster Paradox)
% =====================================================================

@article{hill_1910_possible,
  author  = {Hill, A. V.},
  title   = {The possible effects of the aggregation of the molecules of h{\ae}moglobin on its dissociation curves},
  journal = {Journal of Physiology},
  volume  = {40},
  pages   = {iv--vii},
  year    = {1910},
  url     = {https://physoc.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14697793}
}

@article{goutelle_2008_hill,
  author  = {Goutelle, Sylvain and Maurin, Michel and Rougier, Florent and Barbaut, Xavier and Bourguignon, Laurent and Ducher, Mich{\`e}le and Maire, Pascal},
  title   = {The {H}ill equation: a review of its capabilities in pharmacological modelling},
  journal = {Fundamental \& Clinical Pharmacology},
  volume  = {22},
  number  = {6},
  pages   = {633--648},
  year    = {2008},
  doi     = {10.1111/j.1472-8206.2008.00633.x}
}

@article{broadbent_1979_one,
  author  = {Broadbent, Simon},
  title   = {One way {TV} advertisements work},
  journal = {Journal of the Market Research Society},
  volume  = {21},
  number  = {3},
  pages   = {139--166},
  year    = {1979}
}

@book{brehm_1966_theory,
  author    = {Brehm, Jack W.},
  title     = {A Theory of Psychological Reactance},
  year      = {1966},
  publisher = {Academic Press},
  address   = {New York}
}

% =====================================================================
% J. Survival analysis
% =====================================================================

@article{cox_1972_regression,
  author  = {Cox, David R.},
  title   = {Regression models and life-tables},
  journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological)},
  volume  = {34},
  number  = {2},
  pages   = {187--220},
  year    = {1972},
  doi     = {10.1111/j.2517-6161.1972.tb00899.x}
}

% =====================================================================
% K. Multiple-testing control
% =====================================================================

@article{benjamini_1995_controlling,
  author  = {Benjamini, Yoav and Hochberg, Yosef},
  title   = {Controlling the false discovery rate: A practical and powerful approach to multiple testing},
  journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological)},
  volume  = {57},
  number  = {1},
  pages   = {289--300},
  year    = {1995},
  doi     = {10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02031.x}
}

% =====================================================================
% L. Public data sources (research, not theory)
% =====================================================================

@misc{ssa_baby_names,
  author       = {{U.S. Social Security Administration}},
  title        = {Beyond the Top 1000 Names: National data on the relative frequency of given names in the population of {U.S.} births},
  year         = {2025},
  howpublished = {Public dataset},
  url          = {https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/limits.html},
  note         = {Annual national and state-level birth-name counts, 1880--2024 (national) and 1910--2024 (state). Snapshot used: 2026-04 release for births through calendar year 2024.}
}

@misc{google_trends,
  author       = {{Google}},
  title        = {{Google Trends}},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {Web service},
  url          = {https://trends.google.com/},
  note         = {Weekly search-interest indices for name-level queries; ingested via the unofficial {pytrends} client and rate-limited fetcher described in {\tt cloud/modal\_app.py}.}
}

@misc{gdelt_project,
  author       = {{GDELT Project}},
  title        = {The {GDELT} Project, version 2.0},
  year         = {2024},
  howpublished = {Public dataset},
  url          = {https://www.gdeltproject.org/}
}

@misc{omdb_api,
  author       = {Fritz, Brian},
  title        = {{OMDb API}: The Open Movie Database},
  year         = {2024},
  howpublished = {Web service},
  url          = {https://www.omdbapi.com/}
}

@misc{tmdb_api,
  author       = {{The Movie Database}},
  title        = {{TMDb API}, version 3},
  year         = {2024},
  howpublished = {Web service},
  url          = {https://developer.themoviedb.org/reference/intro/getting-started}
}

@misc{google_books_ngrams,
  author       = {{Google Books Ngram Viewer}},
  title        = {Google Books {Ngram} Corpus},
  year         = {2020},
  howpublished = {Public dataset},
  url          = {https://storage.googleapis.com/books/ngrams/books/datasetsv3.html}
}